How far is SpaceX really from Mars?published at 19:45 BST
Pallab Ghosh
Science correspondent
Image source, Getty ImagesSpaceX's Starship rocket 38 launches during the 11th test flight on October 13, 2025 as seen from South Padre Island in Texas.
Though SpaceX handles many parts of Musk's business empire, one of the divisions it is most famous for is its Mars ambitions. Now that the company has gone public, how far away is that dream really?
The Star Ship Enterprise’s mission, from the Star Trek franchise, was “to boldly go where no one has gone before”. Not to be outshone, Elon Musk has if anything raised the ambition for SpaceX a tad: "to extend the light of consciousness to the stars".
The starting point is to build lunar bases and ultimately colonise Mars. But how realistic is this?
On the plus column: SpaceX launches the large majority of objects reaching orbit, has re-flown its Falcon 9 boosters dozens of times each, and maintains a success rate above 99%. This is a genuine revolution in cheap, reliable access to low-Earth orbit.
On the minus column is Starship. It is the firm's newest and most powerful rocket, and its retro 1950s look deserves to deliver on its science-fiction promise.
But there have been only around a dozen tests of the vehicle on which the firm’s dreams rest. None of them have been an orbital flight around the Earth. Musk's stated plan is for uncrewed Starships to head for Mars sometime between 2026 and 2028, with crews to follow later.
Few independent experts believe that a 2026 Mars mission is credible given the fact that the rocket is still being tested.
















