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Last Updated:  Thursday, 20 March, 2003, 21:25 GMT
Shares rally on hope of swift war
Traders on Wall Street
Blue-chip shares in New York have risen for the seventh day, making this their longest rally since August 2000.

Investors seemed to be betting that the war with Iraq would quickly end in the United States' favour.

The Dow Jones finished up 21 points at 8,287 but the rise came only after the US stepped up its attacks in the Gulf.

Earlier the mood had been downbeat with shares down 134 points. That was enough to drag European markets down after they had been trading moderately higher for most of Thursday morning.

War rally

In London the FTSE 100 closed up just 0.3 of a point at 3,765.7 while the Cac 40 in Paris closed 1.5% lower at 2,794.8. In Germany the Dax was down 0.4% at 2,605.

"It is our belief that the market will rally further because we subscribe to the view that this will be a short war, but then we probably need some consolidation, and maybe even some weakness," said Nigel Cobby, managing director of European equities at JP Morgan in London.

Uncertainty is what stock markets most dislike

But investors were unnerved by comments from US President George W Bush late on Wednesday, in which he warned against assumptions of an easy victory for the US-led troops.

"That is really the overriding issue because stock markets had anticipated or factored in a quick conflict," said Jeremy Batstone, head of research at NatWest Stockbrokers.

Stock markets around the world have been rising sharply since late last week as military conflict appeared to become inevitable - in an echo of the "war rally" experienced during the Gulf War in 1991.

Asian gains

Earlier on Thursday, Asian markets posted strong gains.

Tokyo's Nikkei index gained 1.8% or 144 points to close at 8,195 - although the market experienced hefty swings during the session.

The Hang Seng index in Hong Kong initially gained more than 120 points, or 1.3%, only to lose all of that later in the session.

It managed to close with a 0.4% gain at 9,195 points.

The Tokyo stock market was helped by the new-found strength of the US dollar, which is a boon to Japanese exporters. In Tokyo one US dollar bought just over 120 yen.


WATCH AND LISTEN
Jeremy Batstone, NatWest Stockbrokers
"Share prices had rather factored in a quick conflict...."



THE MARKETS 9:29 UK
FTSE 100
5760.40
-151.7
Dax
5786.97 -
-129.3
Cac 40
5057.74 -
-92.7
Dow
11380.99
-119.7
Nasdaq
2243.78
-28.9
Launch Market Watch Ticker

SEE ALSO:
Oil falls as war begins
20 Mar 03 |  Business
Q&A: Why are shares rising?
18 Mar 03 |  Business
US oil drops below $30 a barrel
19 Mar 03 |  Business
Markets count down to war
19 Mar 03 |  Business
UK stalwarts dropped from FTSE
12 Mar 03 |  Business
US and Japan to protect markets
19 Mar 03 |  Business
Global stock markets surge
13 Mar 03 |  Business


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